Fukuda no choice but to go, who has the capacity to take over?
Vice president of Fudan University in economics, finance professor Yasuo Fukuda, abruptly resigned from the Sun Lijian
Japanese prime minister, who has attracted no small vibration. As Yasuo Fukuda came to power, active power diplomacy, through, the United States visit, expressed Japan's strong desire to intervene in international affairs, and, with his image of the kind of charity to the overseas diplomatic left a deep impression. However, active diplomacy Fukuda did not give him the trend of economic operations in the country to bring any positive impact, on the contrary, Japan's huge government debt, making money to ensure he did not care and social security reform has made substantial progress, and the mechanism adjust the opposition party has been accused of poor out and their remains are in line Komeito party, also had political differences, making the surface more and more embarrassing this situation, but also makes the charity for the elderly face a dilemma, forced to choose ; the resignation of the program. Anyway, this time we Fukuda resignation, we can see the current Japanese economic and political challenges facing!
First, in the occasion of this global recession, the weak Japanese economy has become national heart disease, the ruling party in the above if no substantive economic policy changes, to reverse the current situation in Japan, the decline of national life, the prestige of the regime will be worse. However, the Japanese government since the bubble economy because their financial system rescue caused a huge deficit, coupled with the aging of the Japanese era, the original tax base and increasing financial burden, and, in order to save the economy, interest rates have dropped to zero there is no room for interest rate adjustments (the exchange rate will in the natural environment of an open economy has been in a low level), the Government would like to adopt its own spending and even the exchange rate policy or monetary policy (for example, inhibit the large outflow of domestic capital, etc.) means to restore the vitality of the Japanese economy, I really felt powerless . This also led to fundamental Fukuda regime can not even convince people to sell economic stimulus package. Even if the next candidate for the Liberal Democratic Party came to power, also faces a more brutal and more variety of domestic economic problems. Fukuda is not forced to this desperate point, only high-sounding to resign. unless, Fukuda Cabinet dissolved after the immediate re-election and reorganization of the House, win back majority Liberal Democratic Party, the pattern and use this more favorable political environment, that into the boat, politics, difference, then, also need to go through their own actions and the neighboring countries country competitive advantage, the demand to open up external markets, but also continue to use the next government's development strategy. Unfortunately, the outbreak of the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis, suddenly put the external competitiveness of the Japanese economy to contain a very serious stage. Recently Japan economic indicators continue to deteriorate, causing a high degree of national concern, it also put a great pressure on the ruling party. Therefore, the success of the new Prime Minister to open the external market, as Japan's economic recovery and create an environment to become a very important factor . In this sense, even with a very biased right-wing leader came to power, they can not rush with the development of China, the most potential for future national full of competing factions of the Japanese people's trust in the political system in Japan, will be reduced to very low level, which is the Depression, the state's financial and industrial policies (to reduce internal and external market access barriers, etc.) to apply the positive effects will be kept is not a small shadow. Although the Japanese economy has long been the vitality of the private economy to do powerful force, however, the Depression, people's expectations of future economic downward revision, it will affect their consumption and investment aspirations. coupled with weak international market demand and increased production costs, the economic vitality of civil recovery momentum is very small. If the fiscal policy and industrial policy and then get out of the new model, then, only to wait for periodic adjustments in the world economy help the economic recovery in Japan. For example, with China emerging market in the future prosperity and development, time to activate the vitality of the Japanese people, so that the Japanese government's revenue and expenditure of space gradually increases, thus forming a virtuous cycle of development process . the Japanese people will slowly recover from the trust of the government. Otherwise, the long-term weakness in Japan's political and economic situation will make it's position on the world stage has become increasingly weak.
Recently, the Japanese Liberal Democratic Party secretary general, former Defense Minister Yuriko Koike, the Economic and Financial playing minister Kaoru Yosano, former Defense Minister Ishiba and the Liberal Democratic Party former policy chief Ishihara extended Akira, etc. 5 submitted a new Japanese prime minister's election to apply, although Aso political experience, Yuriko Koike, a female and the media, the public broadcaster was born close to flu, but the candidates are invariably stressed that the main problem is to solve the future Japanese economy sluggish problem, because these candidates point of view of economic management, the lack of original insights and operational that the future status of Japanese people is still very worried. Here, we should focus on to mention that although these people in order to win votes of candidates are generally in the public interest to improve the Japanese social welfare system (such as pensions, etc.) and tax administration reform costs a lot of tongue, but how to get rid of dependence on external markets Japan's manufacturing power industry restructuring and the establishment of the issue of sustainable development model problem, the lack of compelling ideas. In addition, we are also the domestic media different occasions, noted that these candidates have to get rid of the Chinese economy depends on the economic interaction and mutual development structure, which is the former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and Mr. Fukuda's intention to actively carry out China's diplomatic lies. Therefore, in this sense, the future of Japan's new Prime Minister, in addition to increasing domestic social welfare system to strengthen the construction outside the (now most likely to gain political votes of support), also had to go to consider supporting the wealth creation of the welfare system and external environment, or welfare will be a piece of paper talk.
end, and further optimize the industrial structure and create the core competitiveness and make an inventory of assets, market development activity to enhance the world's major economic partners of the friendly relations will determine the next performance and the Government of Japan's governing long-term downturn in the Japanese economy out of trouble the only way. If once these policy changes can play the role of the Japanese economy out of the shadows can, then, the Chinese economy will also have positive effects can not be ignored. For example, Japan's domestic demand expansion is conducive to economic growth in China and Japan is conducive to the improvement of the competitiveness of China's industrial restructuring, the Japanese interest rate control The release will help ease the pressure of excess liquidity in China. In other words, between China and Japan because of the current economic structure determines the composition between complementary than competitive elements, so the new team in Japan to achieve this if informed consensus, then, Sino-Japanese exchanges and economic exchanges between the will enter a new stage of development.
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